8th Annual BearsFansOnline.com Draft Contest!

[wab]

I'll extend post entry/editing time through 4pm CT today.

You all need to convert to GMT.

[Rockbear99]

MY GOAL THIS YEAR IS 3 POINTS. I DONT THINK I WILL MAKE IT. LOL

01. Cleveland Browns: Myles Garrett
02. San Francisco 49ers: Soloman Thomas
03. Chicago Bears: Marshon Lattimore
04. Jacksonville Jaguars: Leonard Fournette
05. TRADE Cleveland Browns: Mitchell Trubisky
06. New York Jets: Jamal Adams
07. Los Angeles Chargers: Jonathan Allen
08. Carolina Panthers: Christian McCaffrey
09. Cincinnati Bengals: John Ross
10. Buffalo Bills: Haason Reddick,
11. New Orleans Saints: Charles Harris
12. TRADE Tennessee Titans : Marlon Humphrey
13. Arizona Cardinals: O.J. Howard
14. Philadelphia Eagles (via MIN): Garett Bolles
15. Indianapolis Colts: Derek Barnett
16. Baltimore Ravens: Reuben Foster
17. Washington Redskins: Mike Williams
18. Tennessee Titans: Adoree Jackson
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Malik Hooker
20. Denver Broncos: Ryan Ramczyk
21. Detroit Lions: Takkarist McKinley
22. Miami Dolphins: T.J. Watt
23. New York Giants: Cam Robinson
24. Oakland Raiders: Jarrad Davis
25. Houston Texans: Deshaun Watson
26. Seattle Seahawks: Forrest Lamp
27. Kansas City Chiefs: Zay Jones
28. Dallas Cowboys: Taco Charlton
29. Green Bay Packers: Joe Mixon
30. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jabrill Peppers
31. Atlanta Falcons: Derek Rivers
32. TRADE Arizona Cardinals: Patrick Mahomes

[Middleguard]

These are my program's predictions:
1) Browns: Myles Garrett
2) 49ers: Jamal Adams
3) Bears: Malik Hooker
4) Jaguars: Jonathan Allen
5) Titans: Soloman Thomas
6) TRADE Browns: Mitchell Trubisky
7) Chargers: Mike Williams
8) Panthers: Leonard Fournette
9) Bengals: Derek Barnett
10) Bills: Corey Davis
11) Saints: Marshon Lattimore
12) TRADE Jets: Deshaun Watson
13) Cardinals: Patrick Mahomes
14) Eagles: Marlon Humphrey
15) Colts: Christian McCaffrey
16) Ravens: John Ross
17) Redskins: Reuben Foster
18) Titans: O J Howard
19) Buccaneers: Dalvin Cook
20) Broncos: Ryan Ramczyk
21) Lions: Haason Reddick
22) Dolphins: Forrest Lamp
23) Giants: Garett Bolles
24) Raiders: Jarrad Davis
25) Texans: DeShone Kizer
26) Seahawks: Cam Robinson
27) Chiefs: David Njoku
28) Cowboys: Takkarist McKinkey
29) Packers: Adoree' Jackson
30) Steelers: Jabrill Peppers
31) Falcons: Dion Dawkins
32) Saints: Tre'Davious White

I still like to hope the Bears will take a QB.

[mmmc_35]

That's awesome, and might win. I assume you put grades and positional needs in. Any other variables? Did you weight positions?

[Middleguard]

That's awesome, and might win. I assume you put grades and positional needs in. Any other variables? Did you weight positions?

I first assembled a consensus bigboard based on rankings not grades. This year I used 13 (including your personal rankings) then eliminated the high and low scores for each player, leaving 11. Then I put together as many mocks as I had time for. This year I managed 21 (the Conley affair blew up on me).

My program first compares the mocks to the board and characterizes each pick as BPA, a position reach, or a reach for a particular player (because he wasn't the best remaining at his position). Then it tries to simulate the draft using the odds of each team picking BPA or reaching to see which remaining player receives the highest odds. It also compares each likely pick on the next team's possible picks to discover the most likely combination and uses that combination to predict the first team's pick. Then it looks at the 2nd & 3rd teams, then the 3rd & 4th, etc.

[mmmc_35]

Good job, very well thought out.

[thunderspirit]

My prediction that is sure to be wrong (perhaps even starting with pick #1)!

1) Browns: Myles Garrett
2) TRADE Washington: Mitchell Trubisky
3) Bears: Solomon Thomas
4) Jaguars: OJ Howard
5) Titans: Marshon Lattimore
6) Jets: Mike Williams
7) Chargers: Malik Hooker
8) Panthers: Christian McCaffrey
9) TRADE Browns: Deshaun Watson
10) Bills: Jamal Adams
11) Saints: Marlon Humphrey
12) TRADE Bengals: Jonathan Allen
13) Cardinals: Patrick Mahomes II
14) Eagles: Haason Reddick
15) Colts: Derek Barnett
16) Ravens: Cam Robinson
17) TRADE 49ers: Leonard Fournette
18) TRADE Giants: Ryan Ramczyk
19) TRADE Dolphins: Forrest Lamp
20) Broncos: David Njoku
21) Lions: Taco Charlton
22) TRADE Buccaneers: Dalvin Cook
23) TRADE Titans: Corey Davis
24) Raiders: Jarrad Davis
25) Texans: Budda Baker
26) Seahawks: Garett Bolles
27) Chiefs: Reuben Foster
28) Cowboys: Adoree' Jackson
29) Packers: Charles Harris
30) Steelers: John Ross
31) Falcons: Jordan Willis
32) Saints: DeShone Kizer

[UOK]

30 minutes until close of edits

[wab]

In before the lock.

01. Cleveland Browns:  *Myles Garrett DE Texas A&M
02. San Francisco 49ers:  *Jamal Adams SS LSU
03. TRADE - Cleveland Brownsf/CHI:  *Mitch Trubisky QB North Carolina
04. Jacksonville Jaguars:  *Leonard Fournette RB LSU
05. Tennessee Titans (via LAR):  *Solomon Thomas DE Stanford
06. TRADE - Washington Redskins f/NYJ *Christian McCaffrey RB Stanford
07. Los Angeles Chargers:  Jonathan Allen DT Alabama
08. Carolina Panthers:  *Marshon Lattimore CB Ohio State
09. Cincinnati Bengals:  Haason Reddick OLB Temple
10. Buffalo Bills:  *Cam Robinson OT Alabama
11. New Orleans Saints:  *Derek Barnett DE Tennessee
12. TRADE - Chicago Bears f/CLE O.J. Howard TE Alabama
13. Arizona Cardinals:  *Patrick Mahomes II QB Texas Tech
14. Philadelphia Eagles (via MIN):  *Dalvin Cook RB Florida State
15. Indianapolis Colts:  Reuben Foster ILB Alabama
16. Baltimore Ravens:  Corey Davis WR Western Michigan
17. TRADE - New York Jets f/WASH *Malik Hooker FS Ohio State
18. Tennessee Titans:  *John Ross WR Washington
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  *Charles Harris DE Missouri
20. Denver Broncos:  *Garett Bolles OT Utah
21. Detroit Lions:  Taco Charlton DE Michigan
22. Miami Dolphins:  Takkarist McKinley OLB UCLA
23. New York Giants:  *Ryan Ramczyk OT Wisconsin
24. Oakland Raiders:  Jarrad Davis ILB Florida
25. Houston Texans:  *Deshaun Watson QB Clemson
26. Seattle Seahawks:  *Mike Williams WR Clemson
27. Kansas City Chiefs:  Kevin King CB Washington
28. Dallas Cowboys:  *Carl Lawson DE Auburn
29. Green Bay Packers:  Forrest Lamp OG Western Kentucky
30. Pittsburgh Steelers:  *David Njoku TE Miami (Fla.)
31. Atlanta Falcons:  Jordan Willis DE Kansas State
32. New Orleans Saints (via NE): Tre'Davious White CB LSU

[UOK]

Entries have been gathered, I added my final mock, and we're off to the races. Any edited entries won't be viewed (I took screencaps) and may the best me win!

[Boris13c]

Entries have been gathered, I added my final mock, and we're off to the races. Any edited entries won't be viewed (I took screencaps) and may the best me win!

why not just lock the thread until tomorrow?

[UOK]

Because people can still edit posts in locked threads I believe.

[Rockbear99]

By gosh I did a lot better then I thought I would.

[wab]

Well I'm fucked.

[mmmc_35]

Well I'm fucked.

Everyone is.

[Boris13c]

when it was announced the Bears had traded up 1 spot, I was confused ... but then I reasoned "ah - they wanted the #2 pick to be able to trade down and get more than they were offered for the #3" ... and as convoluted as that may have been, it could have / would have made sense

what actually happened did not IMO

[Boris13c]

Well I'm fucked.

Everyone is.

so did the winner of this contest score more than 5 points?

[UOK]

I'll add up scores this afternoon if I have time.

[Rockbear99]

I did some Adding and I think I may have took it.

[Rockbear99]

How are the calculations going.

[Rusty Trombagent]

ROCKBEAR WANTS HIS DAMN PRIZE

[Rockbear99]

Or my sig updated. LOL

[UOK]

I'll add them up today at work, I'm really sorry about the delay. It's been a hectic week.

[Urblock]

Who one the contest?

[UOK]

In this bizarre draft, it was a war of attrition among those who participated...

MALK - 2 points (to his credit, however, he did call Houston getting Watson & KC getting Mahomes, but didn't predict them trading up to get them...)

UOK, SC BEAR, RING4CHI, MMMC_35 - 3 points

THUNDERSPIRIT, MIDDLEGUARD - 4 points

WAB - 5 points

BORIS13C, ATKINS&REBEL - 6 points

...and your winner, and for the second time the BFO Draft Contest Winner (updated signature on the way...)

ROCKBEAR99 with 9 points! He called the following accurately: Garrett, Fournette, Adams, McCaffrey, Ross, and Charlton.

Well done, Rock! PM me your email address and I'll shoot you the $50 e-certificate toward the Bears official store!

[Atkins&Rebel]

Not for nothing, but I counted 9 points for myself
Garrett (1), McCaffery (1), Davis (3), Charlton (4)

Don't know how that works with the tie breakers, but I at least want credit damn it!

[UOK]

Not for nothing, but I counted 9 points for myself
Garrett (1), McCaffery (1), Davis (3), Charlton (4)

Don't know how that works with the tie breakers, but I at least want credit damn it!

Dammit, I missed that.

I'll give this 24 hours for people to chime in with their toss-ups.

In the past with ties I just split up the prize pool among the winners.

So you are correct and you and Rockbear tied! If anyone else has grievances with their scores, let me know and I'll look things over again later today.

[Atkins&Rebel]

Not for nothing, but I counted 9 points for myself
Garrett (1), McCaffery (1), Davis (3), Charlton (4)

Don't know how that works with the tie breakers, but I at least want credit damn it!

Dammit, I missed that.

I'll give this 24 hours for people to chime in with their toss-ups.

In the past with ties I just split up the prize pool among the winners.

So you are correct and you and Rockbear tied! If anyone else has grievances with their scores, let me know and I'll look things over again later today.

Looking at your tie breaking procedure, I believe that I take it with 2 correct picks in the 20-32 range after neither of us got any picks right in the 10-20 range. But I'll go with whatever you decide.

[Rockbear99]

I count 13 points for me.
Pick #1 Garett (1)
#4 Fournette (1)
#6 Adams (1)
#8 Mcaffery(1)
#9 Ross(2)
#18 Jackson(3)
#28 Charlton(4)

Grand total of 13 (not for nothing)

[UOK]

I count 13 points for me.
Pick #1 Garett (1)
#4 Fournette (1)
#6 Adams (1)
#8 Mcaffery(1)
#9 Ross(2)
#18 Jackson(3)
#28 Charlton(4)

Grand total of 13 (not for nothing)

Oh damn, you are correct. I knew I was going to make a few errors.

I'll give other entrants through tomorrow to find out if the scoring was messed up. Otherwise Rock takes the crown.