WEEK 6 // Bears lose to Dolphins 31-28 in OT

Tue Oct 09, 2018 9:04 am

[html]

<body>

When the rest of the NFC North looks at the division standings:

 <img src=

---------------------------------

 <img src= 

 CHICAGO BEARS 

 Gonna whup that ass

 @ 

Miami Dolphins 

 Adam Gase, the one who got away

 <img src= 

---------------------------------

Week 5: CHICAGO BEARS (3-1) @ Miami Dolphins (3-2)

</body>

[/html]

12pm CT/Noon kickoff, Sunday October 14th, 2018
TV/RADIO: STREAMS/WBBM 780

---------------------------------

Follow @BearsFansOnline on twitter for game updates and live breaking news as it happens, and the Gameday Chatroom is always open and serving lukewarm beer (mind the goat noises)!

Tue Oct 09, 2018 9:25 am

I don't see the momentum turning. Bears take a step backward, as Miami is looking to pick up the pieces from a bigtime loss to NE, but the defense isn't breaking.

CHI 27
MIA 21

Mikefive · Tue Oct 09, 2018 9:28 am

I'm a bit torn on this one. In Miami's favor...
- They're at home.
- There has to be some advantage with Loggains playing against his former team.
- The Bucs showed what NOT to do against the Chicago offense.

In Chicago's favor...
- Hot team has won 3 straight.
- Coming off a bye. But is that an advantage?
- Miami has lost 2 straight with the blueprint for beating them on full display.

I think the last points for each are key and I don't see us running away with it. In the end, our powerful D wins the day.

Bears 20
Miami 16

Bears Whiskey Nut · Tue Oct 09, 2018 9:34 am

Mmmmm...It's good to get back to a game thread.

This is going to be a great barometer game on several levels;
-How do the Bears come out of a bye?
-How does Nagy gameplan after a blowout win? Does he build on plays week over week?
-How do the players respond after a blowout win?
-What does Trubisky look like, riding a wave of confidence, and going on the road?

Should be a fun game to watch. Miami and Chicago are two teams headed in completely opposite directions. Right now Miami's best games are behind them, and the Bears are coming off, quite possibly, the franchise's best game in 40 years. Miami's offense and defense is ranked firmly in the mid-20's, and doesn't show any signs of catapulting out of that position. Tannehill has come crashing back to the ground, and their defense is athletic, but very young. They have 5 receivers, but DeVante doesn't want to be there. They have Frank Gore and Amendola, who are both ancient.

Can the Bears focus, do their jobs, and go to 4-1 in the NFC North? Yes, I think so;

Bears - 27
Dolphins - 13

I'm guessing that both Robinson and Howard go over 100 yards receiving and rushing respectively. Biscuits throws for two TD's and one INT.

Tue Oct 09, 2018 9:42 am

Mikefive wrote:I'm a bit torn on this one. In Miami's favor...
- They're at home.
- There has to be some advantage with Loggains playing against his former team.
- The Bucs showed what NOT to do against the Chicago offense.

In Chicago's favor...
- Hot team has won 3 straight.
- Coming off a bye. But is that an advantage?
- Miami has lost 2 straight with the blueprint for beating them on full display.

I think the last points for each are key and I don't see us running away with it. In the end, our powerful D wins the day.

Bears 20
Miami 16

My thoughts:

Dowell Loggains has very little information on the Bears personnel that could be used to help out their defense. Too much turnover in the last two years to make a difference. Plus he's a generally low-end coach by NFL standards, and he carries water for Gase these days.
Coming off a bye is a huge advantage for the Bears. They'll perhaps get Amukamara and/or Miller back (but I doubt it), and if Nagy inherits Reid's "less is more" bye week record: 16-3 in games after the bye, including 7-0 when the bye comes in Week 5 or earlier. We'll see what happens.
Miami's numbers at home the two games they've played this season have been nice but perhaps deceiving, putting up 27 and 28 points respectively. One of those games came against the hapless Raiders defense (one of the worst in the NFL), and the other was against a Titans squad that didn't have Marcus Mariota for the 4th quarter, featured a bevy of lightning delays, and a Dolphins punt return TD. Don't give them too much credit at a glance.

Miami's on the decline and fighting for their season. Their desperation is all that could save them, but the onus is on them to get their shit together.

Otis Day · Tue Oct 09, 2018 9:54 am

Well, I am usually cautiously pessimistic, a fence riding fool, but I have never liked Miami, never given a shit about Miami and the only thing I know about them is Tannehill is the QB and Gase hasn't done shit down there. He has not been the savior they wanted him to be.

Bears kick ass!! Playing on a nice sunny day, the O continues its upward swing. Trubisky has a nice day. Kind of a controlled passing game but hits Robinson on a couple deep balls, 1 for a TD. Burton makes an impact in this game as well with a TD. Howard gets his ass kicking game back on and Bears roll. The D performs up to its standards.

Bears - 31

Fins - 10

G08 · Tue Oct 09, 2018 10:33 am

Perusing some stats, I found it interesting that Kenyan Drake is the Dolphins' most targeted player on offense. Sounds like a nice match-up for our kid Roquan Smith. That o-line seems to be a weakness for them, I expect Mack and friends to put plenty of pressure on Tannehill, but I do believe Gase/Loggains will attempt to off-set this with screens and a quick passing game.

Best thing for us would be to score early (and often). Force them to become one-dimensional and allow our front 7 to get after the QB.

Might be a slow start for us and a fast start for them, but in the end I think our talent takes over.

Bears - 27
Dolphins - 17

Tue Oct 09, 2018 10:46 am

The Fins started out 3-0 by beating the Titans, who lost Mariota in that game. Then the Jets...who turned out to not be as good as their week 1 win would suggest, and then the Raiders...who might be the worst team in football. Then they got throttled by the Pats and the Bengals...two of the better AFC teams.

Half the Dolphins starting secondary is hurt, their best pass rusher is hurt, half their OL is hurt, and their best WR is nursing a quad injury.

The Dolphins are a team on the brink of a full on season collapse with a HC on the hot seat. That never goes well.

As nervous as it makes me to be confident about this team, I think they win pretty convincingly over Miami.

Bears 32
Dolphins 10

Z Bear · Tue Oct 09, 2018 10:48 am

Offense comes back down to Earth, low scoring slug fest. Parkey gets his revenge game with 5 FGs and wins the game at the last second.

22-20 Bears

I just want to get the W since I will be there!

Mikefive · Tue Oct 09, 2018 10:51 am

UOK wrote:
Mikefive wrote:I'm a bit torn on this one. In Miami's favor...
- They're at home.
- There has to be some advantage with Loggains playing against his former team.
- The Bucs showed what NOT to do against the Chicago offense.

In Chicago's favor...
- Hot team has won 3 straight.
- Coming off a bye. But is that an advantage?
- Miami has lost 2 straight with the blueprint for beating them on full display.

I think the last points for each are key and I don't see us running away with it. In the end, our powerful D wins the day.

Bears 20
Miami 16

My thoughts:

Dowell Loggains has very little information on the Bears personnel that could be used to help out their defense. Too much turnover in the last two years to make a difference. Plus he's a generally low-end coach by NFL standards, and he carries water for Gase these days.

Coming off a bye is a huge advantage for the Bears. They'll perhaps get Amukamara and/or Miller back (but I doubt it), and if Nagy inherits Reid's "less is more" bye week record: 16-3 in games after the bye, including 7-0 when the bye comes in Week 5 or earlier. We'll see what happens.

Miami's numbers at home the two games they've played this season have been nice but perhaps deceiving, putting up 27 and 28 points respectively. One of those games came against the hapless Raiders defense (one of the worst in the NFL), and the other was against a Titans squad that didn't have Marcus Mariota for the 4th quarter, featured a bevy of lightning delays, and a Dolphins punt return TD. Don't give them too much credit at a glance.
Miami's on the decline and fighting for their season. Their desperation is all that could save them, but the onus is on them to get their shit together.

Dowell Loggains was tasked with winning with Biscuit last year. He may not be a genius, but he should know Biscuit's strengths and weaknesses very well. So I disagree with your premise that he doesn't know much. Sure bet he'll tell their D how to push him toward what he's not the best at, particularly since Tampa showed the world a few days ago how NOT to defend against the Bears O.

The reason I question whether the bye is an advantage is that we've been on a roll, having won 3 straight. That's NOT when you want to call a time out. Taking a break to relax could be a momentum killer. Or maybe Nagy, unlike our previous recent coaches, knows how to manage the bye to our advantage. We don't know that yet though and it's certainly not a given.

Miami is certainly beatable. We are only 2 point favorites though last I heard. So unbiased folks are giving Miami more credit than we do. Not one person here yet has picked them to cover the 2, including me.

Bears Whiskey Nut · Tue Oct 09, 2018 10:52 am

Man, this makes me nervous. Are we all drinking too much Kool-Aid (me included). Are we getting out over our skis after one good game by this offense?

I think it's all going to come down to how Trubisky and Nagy handle blitz packages and man to man coverage, which they should see A LOT of on Sunday. If they don't, Matt Burke was not watching the Bucs game very closely, because Biscuits shredded that zone defense. This secondary has the same problem that the Bucs had. They are young, and banged up. So they better try something different.

Umbali · Tue Oct 09, 2018 11:29 am

Bears 30

Miami 17

malk · Tue Oct 09, 2018 11:31 am

I'm back to being utterly, wildly optimistic about this team. We're good QB play away from being a true Super Bowl contender and now Trubisky has flashed that he's got it. What's not to like?

That's not to say I think Trubisky has categorically turned the corner but a 6 TD performance isn't just a freak performance, its a freak performance by someone who also has talent.

Miami got off to a suspiciously hot start and have been falling off ever since. Our defence looks more legit by the week so I'm amazed at the comments that Gase or Loggains might be able to use their experience of Fangio to overcome it. The talent level is there and Fangio is coaching well on top of it. It's the best defence in the league right now and doesn't really have a weakness. Tannehill can't overcome that.

Then their defence isn't getting to the QB consistently, FO has them at 30th in adjusted sack rate. That plays well to Trubisky's current development and will allow a balanced offensive game with some holes for Howard to exploit.

It isn't going to be another ridiculous score but a solid, no real worries, Bears 27, Dolphins 13.

Boris13c · Tue Oct 09, 2018 12:49 pm

Bears 23 Dolphins 16

3 TD's and a safety for the Bears

3 FG's and a TD near the end of the game for the Dolphins

Otis Day · Tue Oct 09, 2018 2:16 pm

I am not overly optimistic overall, I just do not think the Fins are worth a shit. Tannehill has never scared me, Loggains and Gase do not scare me either. I believe Gase was a good OC.......he should have remained an OC (I know everyone aspires to be a HC). He will soon be a good OC for someone. I think the Bear D just kicks the shit out of the Fin O. Bear O will get good field position and take advantage.

Bearfanuk · Tue Oct 09, 2018 2:31 pm

Best friend is a Miami fan, said best friend is coming round to watch the game and this normally ends with the beloved getting their butt kicked...I am sorry for being the reason we are 3-2.

Phins 21
Bears 17

Sorry...I really want to be wrong

GSH · Tue Oct 09, 2018 3:58 pm

Havent watched Miami at all this year so will make a prediction then go and watch all their game highlights but:

Fishes: 17

Bears: 21

Mikefive · Tue Oct 09, 2018 4:51 pm

The Marshall Plan · Tue Oct 09, 2018 5:29 pm

The blood curdling screams will be heard for miles as the Bears just pound the Dolphins.

Unless the gameplan just goes flat for some odd reason (think 2nd half against Green Bay) I don't see how this game is competitive.

Loggains and the whole concern about how he's practiced against Fangio? OK, well Floyd Mayweather's sparring partners practice against him so they must be prize fight competitive against the GOAT in his weight class right?

Mack gets 2 sacks in this game. The Bears probably get 4 as a team. They force 2 turnovers.

This Bears offense has more ways to kill the Dolphins defense than the Dolphins know how to live. The WRs have a huge game. Howard is solid.

The game being in Miami means nothing. The Dolphins have beaten the Titans, Jets and Raiders. Whoopie do! The Titans and Raiders games were relatively close.

Bears 34
Dolphins 13

Middleguard · Tue Oct 09, 2018 5:50 pm

Here's the jinx: for the last 14 years (that's since Lovie's first year), the Bears have only won once following their bye if they lost their first game.

Here's what I hope can be the counter-jinx: Smith and Mack hadn't been with the team prior to their first game.

Both teams have better defenses than offenses, and Bears tend to wilt in heat and humidity, so modest scoring:
Bears 20 Dolphins 17

Funkster · Tue Oct 09, 2018 6:15 pm

Some good thoughts guys. I think it boils down to the bears pass rush, Tannehill is in the bottom five vs the blitz with a passer rating of 57.1. The pressure the bears d line can generate should force him into mistakes. The bears will get it done!

Bears 27
Phins 13

It will be interesting to see how this team comes off of the bye week. Are they going to be refreshed and hungry or tired and lazy?

Middleguard · Tue Oct 09, 2018 6:36 pm

Funkster wrote:Some good thoughts guys. I think it boils down to the bears pass rush, Tannehill is in the bottom five vs the blitz with a passer rating of 57.1. The pressure the bears d line can generate should force him into mistakes. The bears will get it done!

Bears 27
Phins 13

It will be interesting to see how this team comes off of the bye week. Are they going to be refreshed and hungry or tired and lazy?

Last I saw, Bears were last in the league in blitz frequency.

Bears Whiskey Nut · Tue Oct 09, 2018 7:07 pm

Funkster wrote:Some good thoughts guys. I think it boils down to the bears pass rush, Tannehill is in the bottom five vs the blitz with a passer rating of 57.1. The pressure the bears d line can generate should force him into mistakes. The bears will get it done!

Bears 27
Phins 13

It will be interesting to see how this team comes off of the bye week. Are they going to be refreshed and hungry or tired and lazy?

Not only is Tannehill bad against pressure, but they are missing three of their starting OL. The entire left side are 2nd string players. I'm guessing Fangio starts by rushing 4-5, to see if he can get home with that. If he can, it's gonna be a REALLY long day for Tannehill.

I don't think they are going to be tired and lazy. Too much juice coming off of that last win, and Nagy doesn't seem like the coach that would let that happen.

BR0D1E86 · Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:36 am

https://twitter.com/greggabe/status/104 ... 78976?s=20

I think our defense is going to flatten that offense.

Funkster · Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:09 am

Middleguard wrote:
Funkster wrote:Some good thoughts guys. I think it boils down to the bears pass rush, Tannehill is in the bottom five vs the blitz with a passer rating of 57.1. The pressure the bears d line can generate should force him into mistakes. The bears will get it done!

Bears 27
Phins 13

It will be interesting to see how this team comes off of the bye week. Are they going to be refreshed and hungry or tired and lazy?
Last I saw, Bears were last in the league in blitz frequency.

True, but they’re top of the league in QB pressures, 2nd in sacks which means they’re getting to the QB. Point being, Tannehill doesn’t handle pressure well. I’m assuming the bears will go from 3rd in interceptions to first after this weekend and come away with the W!

skamanfrank · Wed Oct 10, 2018 2:18 am

Everything points to a Bears W in my opinion. I'm guessing that Nagy will have them fired up after the bye.

Bears- 28
Fins- 14

KOP_Snake · Wed Oct 10, 2018 3:38 am

Funkster wrote:
Middleguard wrote:
Funkster wrote:Some good thoughts guys. I think it boils down to the bears pass rush, Tannehill is in the bottom five vs the blitz with a passer rating of 57.1. The pressure the bears d line can generate should force him into mistakes. The bears will get it done!

Bears 27
Phins 13

It will be interesting to see how this team comes off of the bye week. Are they going to be refreshed and hungry or tired and lazy?
Last I saw, Bears were last in the league in blitz frequency.
True, but they’re top of the league in QB pressures, 2nd in sacks which means they’re getting to the QB. Point being, Tannehill doesn’t handle pressure well. I’m assuming the bears will go from 3rd in interceptions to first after this weekend and come away with the W!

They're only 2nd because they had a bye week.

Pagan · Wed Oct 10, 2018 3:39 am

This game is going to look familiar...

Remember the Packer game at the very start of the year when the Bears dominated the 1st half & then seemed to fall apart in the 2nd?

Well..that shits not happening again this year.
There's only 1 Aaron Rogers & this teams offense is trending up.

The familiar game?
The record setting game against the Bucs in week 4!

Offense: Trubinski 4 TDs (3 passing/1 Rush)
Defense: 6 sacks, 2 INTs & 1 fumble recovery.

* Mack continues his rediculous sack/strip/fumble streak & Bears continue their streak of forcing teams to play the backup QB.

Bears: 41
Dolphins: 10

VA_Mountain_Bear · Wed Oct 10, 2018 6:47 am

Unless the combo of the Bears coming out flat and the Dolphins find some hidden inner fire...we are going to pulverize them. Offense scores 4 tds and 2 fgs and the D scores a td this game. The Mack Attack continues unabated and everyone else on the front 7 gets hot. 3 sacks, 1 FF, 1 Int (the pick 6).

Bears 41
Phins 13

LacertineForest · Wed Oct 10, 2018 8:15 am

It's a small sample size, obviously, but I think there might be something to the home/road split for Trubisky. So far this year we've got:

http://www.nfl.com/player/mitchelltrubi ... ionalstats" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

73.3% (vs. 67.1), 8 TDs (vs. 0), 2 INTs (vs. 1), 127.4 Rating (vs. 75.4).

Last year his splits were:

60% (vs. 59%), 4 TDs (vs. 3), 1 INT (vs. 6), 89.9 Rating (vs. 68.9).

However, coming out of the bye, I think they will be prepared and fresh, especially on D. I think Trubisky struggles a bit to find his rhythm but the Bears still get the win.

Bears: 22
Dolphins: 17