Great Matt Nagy breakdown

cblaz11 · Sat Oct 17, 2020 12:11 pm

Definitely makes you see how close this offense is to breaking out...Makes me feel better about his ability to adjust in game as well.

Rusty Trombagent · Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:15 pm

shit, that was great

Sat Oct 17, 2020 2:58 pm

Awesome, I love these X and O breakdowns.

Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:06 pm

Man, that’s impressive.

Bearfanuk · Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:33 pm

This guys been putting some good bears content out there for a while now. Is also really approachable on Twitter also unlike some.

docc · Sat Oct 17, 2020 8:49 pm

Explains Nagy post presser agitation.. He had the game planned nice but execution, as he said, was the problem..

Kylo Bearen · Sun Oct 18, 2020 9:18 pm

High quality!

Johnny Bollocks · Mon Oct 19, 2020 4:04 am

Superb.

Rakshir · Mon Oct 19, 2020 7:45 am

Thanks for the share, makes you feel a bit better about our Coach.

Arkansasbear · Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:55 pm

I think he gets lost during games sometimes. Trying to get too "cute" when he doesn't need it or passing the ball when he should run it to control the clock/timeouts or his use of timeouts to "save time" when he shouldn't.

Mon Oct 19, 2020 3:36 pm

Didn't really know where to put this, but getting players to buy in is arguably his greatest trait.

G08 · Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:19 pm

Loved the 'rub rub' play; if you go back and watch the TV copy, you'll hear Foles tell Leno that "3's dead" (the linebacker isn't rushing).

What does Leno do? Try to block him anyway, which allows an inside pressure and almost ruins the play.

Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:47 pm

G08 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:19 pm Loved the 'rub rub' play; if you go back and watch the TV copy, you'll hear Foles tell Leno that "3's dead" (the linebacker isn't rushing).

What does Leno do? Try to block him anyway, which allows an inside pressure and almost ruins the play.

Remember when I told you Charles Leno was awful for the last 6 years?

G08 · Mon Oct 19, 2020 11:17 pm

wab wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:47 pm
G08 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:19 pm Loved the 'rub rub' play; if you go back and watch the TV copy, you'll hear Foles tell Leno that "3's dead" (the linebacker isn't rushing).

What does Leno do? Try to block him anyway, which allows an inside pressure and almost ruins the play.
Remember when I told you Charles Leno was awful for the last 6 years?

Vaaaaaaguely...

I think he's regressed big time.

thunderspirit · Tue Oct 20, 2020 9:52 am

wab wrote: ↑Sat Oct 17, 2020 4:06 pm Man, that’s impressive.

It is.

AZ_Bearfan · Tue Oct 20, 2020 10:26 am

Leno's been on a steady decline since he got married a couple of years ago. I think he's gotten soft. If we don't have a Spriggs sighting soon, I'm going to get mad and yell about it on the internet.

HisRoyalSweetness · Thu Oct 22, 2020 6:56 pm

…the Bears run 11 personnel (one RB, one TE, three WRs) on 52% of their plays, according to Sharp Football Stats, a site that tracks personnel usage across the league. Per Sharp Football Stats, that rate is bottom-10 in the league as most teams run 11 personnel around 65-75% of the time. However, the Bears pass out of 11 personnel 74% of the time. That’s a higher rate than every team in the league except for the Jaguars and 49ers. Unsurprisingly, the Bears only complete 58.8% of their passes in 11, because opposing defenses know there’s a great chance that a pass is coming.

The inverse is true too. Bears running plays out of 11 personnel earn 5.8 YPC, according to Sharp Football Stats, a full yard and a half more than their 4.3 YPC overall. That’s likely because defenses are caught off guard by a run out of 11 personnel.

https://www.nbcsports.com/chicago/bears ... gent-trade

Moriarty · Fri Oct 23, 2020 9:30 am

AZ_Bearfan wrote: ↑Tue Oct 20, 2020 10:26 am Leno's been on a steady decline since he got married a couple of years ago. I think he's gotten soft.

spudbear · Fri Oct 23, 2020 9:43 am

HisRoyalSweetness wrote: ↑Thu Oct 22, 2020 6:56 pm
…the Bears run 11 personnel (one RB, one TE, three WRs) on 52% of their plays, according to Sharp Football Stats, a site that tracks personnel usage across the league. Per Sharp Football Stats, that rate is bottom-10 in the league as most teams run 11 personnel around 65-75% of the time. However, the Bears pass out of 11 personnel 74% of the time. That’s a higher rate than every team in the league except for the Jaguars and 49ers. Unsurprisingly, the Bears only complete 58.8% of their passes in 11, because opposing defenses know there’s a great chance that a pass is coming.

The inverse is true too. Bears running plays out of 11 personnel earn 5.8 YPC, according to Sharp Football Stats, a full yard and a half more than their 4.3 YPC overall. That’s likely because defenses are caught off guard by a run out of 11 personnel.

https://www.nbcsports.com/chicago/bears ... gent-trade

I'd like to see them run play-action out of the power-I and hit some quick pass plays, or maybe have Mooney go deep.

Otis Day · Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:25 pm

Didn't want to start a new thread but saw these #s (leading to today's game), awful.

Points per game: 19.7 (27th in NFL)

Yards per play: 4.8 (30th)

Yards per run: 3.8 (30th)

Yards per pass: 5.6 (29th)

Interception rate: 3.2 percent (26th)

Third down conversion rate: 35.1% (30th)

First downs/game: 19.7 (27th)

Red zone touchdown rate: 47.6% (29th)

https://www.nbcsports.com/chicago/bears ... laycalling

docc · Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:45 pm

we need an offensive execution..

southdakbearfan · Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:54 pm

docc wrote: ↑Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:45 pm we need an offensive execution..

Or a sacrifice?

G08 · Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:10 pm

Otis Day wrote: ↑Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:25 pm Didn't want to start a new thread but saw these #s (leading to today's game), awful.

Points per game: 19.7 (27th in NFL)

Yards per play: 4.8 (30th)

Yards per run: 3.8 (30th)

Yards per pass: 5.6 (29th)

Interception rate: 3.2 percent (26th)

Third down conversion rate: 35.1% (30th)

First downs/game: 19.7 (27th)

Red zone touchdown rate: 47.6% (29th)

https://www.nbcsports.com/chicago/bears ... laycalling

Look at this gem: the Chicago Bears offense has not scored a TD on a drive that started on THEIR side of the 50 yard line since 2018.

Moriarty · Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:22 pm

G08 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:10 pm
Otis Day wrote: ↑Sun Nov 01, 2020 9:25 pm Didn't want to start a new thread but saw these #s (leading to today's game), awful.

Points per game: 19.7 (27th in NFL)

Yards per play: 4.8 (30th)

Yards per run: 3.8 (30th)

Yards per pass: 5.6 (29th)

Interception rate: 3.2 percent (26th)

Third down conversion rate: 35.1% (30th)

First downs/game: 19.7 (27th)

Red zone touchdown rate: 47.6% (29th)

https://www.nbcsports.com/chicago/bears ... laycalling
Look at this gem: the Chicago Bears offense has not scored a TD on a drive that started on THEIR side of the 50 yard line since 2018.

That can't be real.
How can any offense be that feeble?
Just 1 breakaway run? Just one rainbow to a receiver who got behind his man?

Burl · Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:32 pm

But it's because we played the Colts though! #1 defense.

Course Matt Stafford managed to go for 336 and 3 TDs against them.

Moriarty · Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:42 pm

Moriarty wrote: ↑Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:22 pm
G08 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:10 pm

Look at this gem: the Chicago Bears offense has not scored a TD on a drive that started on THEIR side of the 50 yard line since 2018.

That can't be real.
How can any offense be that feeble?
Just 1 breakaway run? Just one rainbow to a receiver who got behind his man?

Well, it's not real.

2 TDs from their side last night. 1 against CAR. 1 against Tampa. 1 against Indy. 2 in the 4th Q against ATL.
So that's 7, just since Foles went in.

G08 · Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:52 pm

Burl wrote: ↑Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:32 pm But it's because we played the Colts though! #1 defense.

Course Matt Stafford managed to go for 336 and 3 TDs against them.

Yeah I saw that too. This team fucking sucks.

Moriarty · Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:59 pm

This is real and awful, however.

Yet the Bears, since Nick Foles’ first start, are the most pass-heavy team on first down in the NFL – which, of course, means they run less than every other team in the league on first down.

Bears run/pass ratio on first down
Pass rate
62%
Run rate
38%
Okay, so just give Bill Lazor or John DeFilippo playcalling responsibilities and have them call more running plays. Right?

It's not that simple.

Foles is averaging 7.3 yards per pass on first down, exactly the NFL average since he took over as the Bears’ starting quarterback (per SharpFootballStats). So that’s fine.

The problem here is not only are the Foles-led Bears running it less than any other team in the NFL on first down, they’re the worst running team in the NFL on first down.

Bears' run issues on 1st down
Yards per carry
2.9 (NFL avg: 4.4)
Success rate
25% (NFL avg: 48%)

This is where the Bears’ offense feels the most broken. They’re predictable, but the only way to become unpredictable is to call for running plays that probably aren’t going to gain many, if any, yards.

The authors keep framing it in terms of "since Foles started". But Foles isn't a likely source for the end of running success, or even trying to run at all. But we heard a lot about how Nagy, despite his preference, was calling more under center for Mitch - which he promptly abandoned when Foles took over. Anybody know where to get stats on that?
It sounds to me like Nagy's shotgun fetish is what's killing the offense.

G08 · Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:56 pm

Moriarty wrote: ↑Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:59 pm This is real and awful, however.

Yet the Bears, since Nick Foles’ first start, are the most pass-heavy team on first down in the NFL – which, of course, means they run less than every other team in the league on first down.

Bears run/pass ratio on first down
Pass rate
62%
Run rate
38%
Okay, so just give Bill Lazor or John DeFilippo playcalling responsibilities and have them call more running plays. Right?

It's not that simple.

Foles is averaging 7.3 yards per pass on first down, exactly the NFL average since he took over as the Bears’ starting quarterback (per SharpFootballStats). So that’s fine.

The problem here is not only are the Foles-led Bears running it less than any other team in the NFL on first down, they’re the worst running team in the NFL on first down.

Bears' run issues on 1st down
Yards per carry
2.9 (NFL avg: 4.4)
Success rate
25% (NFL avg: 48%)

This is where the Bears’ offense feels the most broken. They’re predictable, but the only way to become unpredictable is to call for running plays that probably aren’t going to gain many, if any, yards.
The authors keep framing it in terms of "since Foles started". But Foles isn't a likely source for the end of running success, or even trying to run at all. But we heard a lot about how Nagy, despite his preference, was calling more under center for Mitch - which he promptly abandoned when Foles took over. Anybody know where to get stats on that?
It sounds to me like Nagy's shotgun fetish is what's killing the offense.

It was discussed on the Hoge and Jahns podcast last week or two weeks ago. I'll see if I can find it again but the running game has gone directly into the shitter once Trubisky was benched.

dplank · Mon Nov 02, 2020 4:42 pm

Regarding the run game and how the starting QB's relate to that:

1. Daniels got hurt, he's 1 of only 2 viable OL we have on the team
2. We played Detroit and NYG in the first two weeks
3. Nagy trusts Foles to sling it more than he trusted Mitch (although I have to wonder how long that trust will last)
4. Nagy talked all off season about committing to the run, so in his first few games he tried to do that. Then he saw that we could block a fat ass from a salad bar and he decided it was pointless to pretend.