JF1 Big Time Throws

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wab
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Watching this gives me a lot of hope. Now... can you imagine if dudes were running open and not contested on nearly every throw?

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The Marshall Plan
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Fields' deep ball is just so pretty. I can't wait to see this kid unleashed in an offense catered to him. Thanks for sharing.
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G08
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wab wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 10:17 am Watching this gives me a lot of hope. Now... can you imagine if dudes were running open and not contested on nearly every throw?

1. Thank you for this!

2. Those balls to Graham and Mooney against Pittsburgh were disgusting
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Xee
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AZ_Bearfan wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 11:31 am Fields' deep ball is just so pretty. I can't wait to see this kid unleashed in an offense catered to him. Thanks for sharing.
I watched that almost-50-yard bomb to Mooney against the Lions like 5 times.
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That was fun to watch. Thanks, WAB.
It's football, it's not brain surgery. Have some fun." - Mike Ditka

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How some people can consider him a bust I’ve no idea.
He may hold the ball too long, he may need longer to read/process defenses.

What is beyond doubt is he has the arm talent to go all the way.
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The Marshall Plan wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 10:32 am Giving McNagy a weapon like Fields is like giving a man with no legs a pair of Air Jordan’s.
:rofl:
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southdakbearfan
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Ditka’s dictaphone wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 12:04 pm How some people can consider him a bust I’ve no idea.
He may hold the ball too long, he may need longer to read/process defenses.

What is beyond doubt is he has the arm talent to go all the way.
I guess I haven’t seen anyone label him a bust. On the contrary everyone can see the big time plays, it’s the fumbles and horrid drive killing sacks he needs to clean up.

He can’t have a highlight reel play every play, sometimes the quick check down is a million times better than trying to escape a sack to heave a 50 yd bomb.
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The fumbles are a problem he needs to resolve but if the next coach can actually handle red zone playcalling I think the big time throws will lead to points and outweigh the sacks. The game is ultimately about points not yards or time of possession.

6 drives with an explosive play (pass or run)
3 blah drives
3 drives with "terrible sacks"

Probably the Bears win that game
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southdakbearfan
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crueltyabc wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 3:53 pm The fumbles are a problem he needs to resolve but if the next coach can actually handle red zone playcalling I think the big time throws will lead to points and outweigh the sacks. The game is ultimately about points not yards or time of possession.

6 drives with an explosive play (pass or run)
3 blah drives
3 drives with "terrible sacks"

Probably the Bears win that game
It’s about sustaining drives. You can’t automatically know 25% of your drives are hosed because of sacks and feasibly win a lot of games. All of the other things like false starts and drops just get magnified when you have a qb taking bad sacks and possibly resulting in fumbles.
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crueltyabc
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Field position matters in this discussion but generally I think analytics supports the idea of chasing big plays even at the risk of some bad ones. Again - not turnovers necessarily.

Look at this blog for some charts: https://www.the33rdteam.com/how-valuabl ... ive-plays/

“If we get the ball on our own 25 and have X explosives in the drive, what’s the chance we’ll score?”
Drives with 0 explosives are very unlikely to score, drives with a single explosive are three times more likely to score than drives with no explosives, and drives with two explosives score more than half the time.


Play with the sorting

https://www.sharpfootballstats.com/expl ... -off-.html

and you'll see that the best offenses last year had lots of explosive plays. The way you "sustain drives" now is by shortening them either by field position (off turnovers) or with big plays that reduce the number of plays required to score.
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southdakbearfan
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Same place. This years stats.

https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/n ... lays-2021/

5 of the top 10 teams for overall explosive plays missed the playoffs.

8 of the top 10 teams for average number of plays per game made the playoffs.
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I'm a big fan of JF1. I'm not usually QB Boy - but boy I now sure am QB Boy.
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The Marshall Plan
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IE wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 5:02 pm I'm a big fan of JF1. I'm not usually QB Boy - but boy I now sure am QB Boy.
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crueltyabc
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southdakbearfan wrote: Fri Jan 14, 2022 5:01 pm Same place. This years stats.

https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/n ... lays-2021/

5 of the top 10 teams for overall explosive plays missed the playoffs.

8 of the top 10 teams for average number of plays per game made the playoffs.
You're right I shouldn't have mentioned runs.

The top 9 teams in explosive passing rate made the playoffs, then DAL KC and BUF are further down because their offenses sucked at times this season but I don't think you'd look at those teams and say they don't have an explosive element to their passing game.

EDIT:
Also wow I'm looking at this list of average plays: https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/plays-per-game
Baltimore is number 1 and Greg Roman is under fire
PIT squeaked into the playoffs and #9 but their offense was trash
Car is #10 and their offense was a laughing stock
GB is at 16 and SF and CIN are tied at 25.
This doesn't prove anything
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