otis wrote: ↑Thu Apr 04, 2024 5:11 pm
malk wrote: ↑Thu Apr 04, 2024 6:45 am
I think the dynamics of the NFL make it pretty much impossible for Poles to trade the pick. If Williams ends up being good (doesn't even have to be great) and we don't get playoff success very soon, Poles loses his job. Whereas if Williams flops Poles likely gets another go, absent other factors.
This said, given I'm not anywhere near the levers of power, I think the question is whether I'd prefer a trade based around 3 first round picks or Andrew Luck's first 7 years?
The trade would need to be from a team that we could reasonable infer will have some struggles over the next few years, i.e. not one that's stacked other than QB. But we've already got a great situation for a rookie QB and there are a few 1st round options. A good cap situation and a boatload of picks to build around Daniels, McCarthy, hell even Nix. I'm not feeling Maye for whatever reason...
how do the bears compare to the colts back then? we're not a shitshow. i don't member how the colts were.
Luck went 11-5 as a rookie. With one of the losses being us putting 41 on them in his debut! The Colts D was 21st in points so in that morass of mediocrity. Over the 6 years he played they were a top 10 offence 3 times and top half for 2 of the remaining 3. They had a top 10 D twice but usually it was low 20s. Chuck Pagano reign, not awful but not stellar.
Interesting if not particularly telling that the following draft was awful for QBs. EJ Manuel was the only 1st round pick and busted out. Geno Smith from the 2nd the only guy to do much of anything. Also two future Bears greats came later in Glennon and Barkley. 2014 then had Bortles, Manziel, Bridgewater, Carr, Garoppolo in the first two rounds.
Which is just to say that if their GM traded the Luck pick and ended up with one of those (or Tannehill from a pick in 2012) his days are numbered!
EDIT: Just to add for posterity, I think Williams has a good shot at a better pro career than Luck and also think there are a few QBs in this draft who should end up better than the motley crew of picks in 2013 and 2014.