UOK's Poorly Researched & Generally Guessed Mock Draft

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UOK's Poorly Researched & Generally Guessed Mock Draft

Thu Jan 16, 2020 12:23 pm

DISCLAIMER: I watch virtually zero college football, and all of these opinions are formed from Googling, internet and YouTube "research," and multiple mock draft simulations to verify availability of these players being available when the Bears are on the clock.

I look forward to your feedback.

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R2, P11: Tyler Biadasz, C/OL - Wisconsin

With Daniels likely staying at LG and Whitehair's veteran wisdom and versatility shifting to the RG position, I'm forecasting Biadasz to join the Bears as an instant starter at Center. If for whatever reason the Bears want to be stupid and peg him at Right Guard, he could probably do that without a hitch as well. Versatile and talented player who comes from a college known for putting out stud offensive linemen. He also inherits the duty of washing the taste of Gabe Carimi's failure out of fans mouths.

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R2, P18: James Lynch, DL, Baylor

Nick Williams is 30, Roy Robertson-Harris will probably get overpaid somewhere, Hicks is no spring chicken and coming off of a major injury, and Goldman has wear and tear on his tires. The trenches need re-kindling, and James Lynch, to put it bluntly, is a problem for offenses. He's got great hands and feet, good agility for his size, and brings an enormous level of leadership that could impact everyone he plays next to. I know people will cry for a TE here, but I feel like the defensive line got exposed a bit when Hicks missed most of the year. That energy and leadership can't be voided again should Hicks not be 100%.

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R4, P41: Chazz Surratt, LB, North Carolina

Surratt has NFL size -- 6'3", 230lb -- and he ends up in round 4 since he hasn't played linebacker much, but he's also going this high due to being incredibly athletic and highly intelligent. A former QB, he could also find a way to be a gadget in Nagy's offense, but his best contributions would be in blitz packages and special teams. Guy has the speed, size, power, and grace to succeed in the NFL, so long as he seasons under the tutelage of veterans and coaches to harness those gifts into consistency.

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R5, P13: Jordan Fuller, S, Ohio State

Fuller could drop further than this if his combine goes poorly, but what drew me to take him at this spot is his ball awareness. He's got technique problems regarding tackling form and leveraging into a ball carrier, but when the ball is in the air or batted by a fellow defender, he'll find it, and that's something the Bears need more of out of their defensive backfield. His special teams value wouldn't be much, but he'd bring depth to the defensive backfield that Eddie Jackson would be able to tutor, whether directly or by example.

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R5, P17: Adam Trautman, TE, Dayton

Finally, the TE. With Adam Shaheen being unhealthy and/or trash, Pace will take a flyer on another hulking target. At 6'6" 253 lbs, Trautman's a clydesdale receiver, routinely dragging would-be tacklers, admittedly due to his less-than-stellar competition (but still a D1 school at least). He's not a dynamic athlete, certainly, and his blocking may never come together, but as a gemstone that could be shaped into something special, Trautman's well worth a risk here in round five.

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R5, P20: Josiah Deguara, TE/FB, Cincinnati

Deguara intrigues me. He's athletic and unrefined, but there's something about his highlights that gave me pause. He could be a TE, a FB, or Nagy's beloved U - he's got the capability, size, and athleticism to be any one of these things, or all of them. Jack of All Trades, Master of None came to mind, and while Trautman brings the size, Deguara brings the versatility and speed to the position that will all but certainly be improvements over Horsted and Holtz respectively. New TE coach Clancy Barone should have a wealth of options to sculpt in his first year with the team.

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R6, P17: Tipa Galea'i, EDGE, Utah State

Galea'i's assault charge in 2017 may even render him available as a UDFA, depending on how he interviews, but assuming he does well across the board, this is an appropriate landing spot. While some people criticize Leonard Floyd, Galeai's film reads almost identically to Floyd's NFL highlights thus far. He's great at reading the run, has great skill and athleticism off the edge, can disrupt up the middle, and plays a high motor game. I don't think he'd be a starter in his NFL career, but he'd be an asset on Special Teams and valuable depth in a soon-to-be-thin OLB corps.

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R7, P19: Shea Patterson, QB, Michigan

Patterson has a Russell Wilson vibe to him, from his size to his elusiveness to his arm. Many scouts compare him to Manziel's college skill (on the field, anyway). He has a fine release, good upper body strength, and has a knack for putting the ball where only his receivers can get it. Decision making at the NFL level would need refinement, and as a 7th round pick he clearly would be far from a sure thing to make the roster (assuming there's a lot of competition for backing up Trubisky going into camp). Has talent well worth investing a late pick into.
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Re: UOK's Poorly Researched & Generally Guessed Mock Draft

Thu Jan 16, 2020 5:19 pm

Overall, nicely done. Hit on some key needs. I do think TE has to be addressed a bit earlier than R5. Possibly with that R4 pick, I do like Albert Okwuegbunam TE Missouri - he's generally been available in R4, not sure if he was available that late in R4 tho.
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Re: UOK's Poorly Researched & Generally Guessed Mock Draft

Fri Jan 17, 2020 5:28 am

I like your logic with the first two picks. Maybe DL is a bigger need than I thought and I'm just too focused on getting a backup QB?

Going for the special teams, marginal starter, type guys in the later rounds always makes sense. I'm loving the TE and TE/FB combo in round 5, but do you think Nagy will actually use that? I'm not questioning what you're trying to build I'm questioning Nagy.
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Re: UOK's Poorly Researched & Generally Guessed Mock Draft

Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:15 pm

I like it.

I actually think Tyler Biadasz is the perfect pick, but he's arguably the top interior OL in the draft and very likely won't make it out of the top 20.

Love the Lynch pick, he's been on my radar being down here at the edge of Baylor country. I wasn't sure if he'd declare so I hadn't considered him yet.

Surratt is returning to NC unfortunately. He's an intriguing guy though. There aren't a lot of people who have made a successful move from QB to LB.

Love the Jordan Fuller pick. Super underrated player. Team captain, academic all american. There's a ton to like about this guy. I think he's the 3rd safety off the board, but if he's available this late it would be a huge get.

I've seen Trautman's name recently in a lot of those "top sleepers of the draft" type articles. He just gives off too much of a Shaheen vibe to me. Kind of a one year wonder against inferior competition. Former QB without a ton of TE experience. I'll be interested to see how he plays in the Senior bowl.

I admittedly don't know much about Deguara other than everything I read says he has pretty modest physical traits but is versatile and effective in the passing game. Kind of similar to Nall in a few ways.

It was a big deal down here when Galea'i got booted from TCU. He was hammered and punched some kid in the head like 30 times. That whole thing aside, I like his ability, He's got lethal pass rush promise with an explosive first step. But man is he thin. Like "he makes Leonard Floyd look like Shawne Merriman" thin.

I love the Patterson pick. He's a little slight, but he just does everything really well. Slippery too. He's got some pretty wicked mechanical flaws though when things break down around him - stuff that's easily correctable. But this is a perfect R7 type selection.
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Re: UOK's Poorly Researched & Generally Guessed Mock Draft

Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:29 pm

wab wrote:
Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:15 pm
I like it.

I actually think Tyler Biadasz is the perfect pick, but he's arguably the top interior OL in the draft and very likely won't make it out of the top 20.
Indeed. Guy'll be a first rounder, unfortunately.
wab wrote:
Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:15 pm
Love the Lynch pick, he's been on my radar being down here at the edge of Baylor country. I wasn't sure if he'd declare so I hadn't considered him yet.
I hope he's a Chicago Bear. Guy is a monster.
wab wrote:
Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:15 pm
Surratt is returning to NC unfortunately.
Damn. Ah well.
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Re: UOK's Poorly Researched & Generally Guessed Mock Draft

Fri Jan 17, 2020 1:04 pm

wab wrote:
Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:15 pm
I like it.

I actually think Tyler Biadasz is the perfect pick, but he's arguably the top interior OL in the draft and very likely won't make it out of the top 20.
How accurate do you think things like the Fanspeak Draft Simulator are?

I did a mock this morning and Biadasz (OMG HIS NAME SOUNDS LIKE BAD ASS HAW HAW HAW! WE GOTTA DRAFT HIM!) was on the board for the first 2nd round pick. Hurts was there for the second 2nd round pick so I drafted them.

I’m sure settings is part of it and I go with the defaults while making sure its the exact draft order and then on difficult instead of classic.
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Re: UOK's Poorly Researched & Generally Guessed Mock Draft

Fri Jan 17, 2020 1:57 pm

The Marshall Plan wrote:
Fri Jan 17, 2020 1:04 pm
wab wrote:
Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:15 pm
I like it.

I actually think Tyler Biadasz is the perfect pick, but he's arguably the top interior OL in the draft and very likely won't make it out of the top 20.
How accurate do you think things like the Fanspeak Draft Simulator are?

I did a mock this morning and Biadasz (OMG HIS NAME SOUNDS LIKE BAD ASS HAW HAW HAW! WE GOTTA DRAFT HIM!) was on the board for the first 2nd round pick. Hurts was there for the second 2nd round pick so I drafted them.

I’m sure settings is part of it and I go with the defaults while making sure its the exact draft order and then on difficult instead of classic.
I think from a pure ranking standpoint it's pretty accurate, but it doesn't really take into account the importance of positional ranking and how that impacts draft boards.

Some teams would rather have the top ranked center in the draft at say, pick #12, over the 5th ranked Edge rusher. Even though the center might be the 30th ranked prospect overall...while the edge rusher might be the 15th ranked prospect overall.
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Re: UOK's Poorly Researched & Generally Guessed Mock Draft

Fri Jan 17, 2020 9:27 pm

The Marshall Plan wrote:
Fri Jan 17, 2020 1:04 pm
wab wrote:
Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:15 pm
I like it.

I actually think Tyler Biadasz is the perfect pick, but he's arguably the top interior OL in the draft and very likely won't make it out of the top 20.
How accurate do you think things like the Fanspeak Draft Simulator are?
It varies enormously, based on which value board you use.
(If you pay, one of the upgrades is that you can create your own value board to fix any awful rankings.)
The value boards available also improve tremendously as the draft gets closer. Right now any board has at least a dozen, usually a couple dozen, rankings that have me shaking my head in disgust.
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