2023 Draft Sims

College football and the NFL Draft

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Grizzled
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The simulators seem to offer too much or too little but are fun to play with. And, of course, they can't take into account if an established player ismpart of the deal. I like the idea, though, of a player being part of any deal. Buckner from the Colts, Adams from the Raiders, Brandin Cooks from the Texans would be 3 that I wouldn't mind seeing on the Bears.
Drafts are like snowflakes, no two are alike.
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UOK wrote: Mon Jan 09, 2023 11:21 am So I decided to try to restrain myself and did a draft sim where I kept things minimal and only moved out if the offer was realistic-feeling. I also played along and modified the Colts trade to reflect value assuming DeForest Buckner would be included as part of the deal.

TRADE // Bears > Colts

CHI receives
- DL DeForest Buckner
- R1 P4 2023
- R2 P35 2023
- R3 P79 2023
- R1 2024

IND receives
- R1 P1 2023

------

R1 P4: Myles Murphy, EDGE - Clemson

This is the logical way to go. With Buckner in hand and likely getting locked up long-term, the Bears need to surround him with viable pass rushers, and Murphy is the clear elite choice. He's primed and ready to make an immediate difference and would be an ideal fit in Eberflus' system.

The Colts part with a defensive great in his prime whose contract comes off the books for their rebuild and net their QB of the future in the bargain.

------

TRADE // Bears > Falcons

CHI receives
- R2 P44 2023
- R3 P76 2023

ATL receives
- R2 P35
- R3 P100

-----

R2 P44 (via ATL): Rashee Rice, WR - SMU

Rice was too much of a draw to pass up for other options. He's got good size - 6'2" 200lbs - and has fantastic length, one of the best GUAGI (go up and get it) targets available in the draft. Has excellent speed as well, and would be a welcome target for a fairly paltry WR room that will look rebound after a lousy year.

The Falcons move up to get help in their pass rush and the Bears move up significantly in round 3 while still getting an excellent weapon for Fields.

-----

R2 P55: Sean Tucker, RB - Syracuse

This pick was done assuming that David Montgomery will not be re-signed, which I expect. Tucker is extremely comparable to Monty in a number of respects, and would similarly tandem well with Herbert. This is high for a running back, but Tucker's explosive capabilities are potentially game-breaking.

-----

TRADE // Bears > Broncos

CHI receives:
- R3 P67
- R4 P105

DEN receives:
- R3 P64
- R4 P131
- R4 P132
- CHI R5 2024

-----

R3 P67 (via DEN): DeMarvion Overshown, LB - Texas

With Roquan gone and the linebacker room not having a lot of wealth, Overshown should be a fantastic candidate to make an immediate difference. He's a long, rangy, and dynamic athlete who has excellent timing in pursuit and a knack for sound tackling. This deal cost a bit of capital, but puts the Bears in much better position to find better talent in this draft.

-----

R3 P76 (via ATL): Dawand Jones, OT - Ohio State

A monster, 6'8" 360lbs, who will compete for a starting job right away, and ideally push Larry Borom into the interior or a swing tackle role while Alex Leatherwood competes for, well, basically anything at this point. Jones is a "we're not fucking around" pick whose specialty is pass pro from the right side, and between he and Braxton Jones, these two ideally will anchor the edges for some time.

-----

R3 P79 (via IND): Ji'Ayir Brown, S - Penn State

Eddie Jackson's status for the 2023 Bears team is very much in limbo, but independent if Jackson returns and/or is healthy, Brown and his former backfield mate Jaquon Brisker made for an extremely dangerous safety tandem for the Nittany Lions, and would have that rapport to work off of in 2023. His highlights are fantastic and scream "cover 2 safety who picks all the shit off." Superb fit.

-----

R4 P105 (via DEN): Ricky Stromberg, OC - Arkansas

Stromberg will have to prove he can handle the finesse aspects of being an NFL center, but he's an immediate upgrade from Sam Mustipher and understudy for Lucas Patrick.

-----

R5 P155: Zack Zinter, OG - Michigan

I saw that Zinter hasn't declared, but assuming he goes, he's a great fit at this point in the draft. I tried to get good value moving back out of this spot, but nothing lined up, so I went with more offensive line depth. Zinter provides relief if Whitehair is a cap casualty or if he and Jenkins continue having issues with their availability, ideally developing into a starter at some point.

-----

R6 P196: Julius Brents, CB - Kansas State

Brents' shortcomings are hopefully ones that good coaching can clean up, but the instincts are extremely promising. He's got great size at 6'4" and plays the ball in the air nicely. If he's still here, he would be a superb addition to the DB room.
Nice :clap:
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Great film session with DeForest Buckner. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o5vWuHb9QgI

Do we really think it would be possible to get him as part of a trade for picks? I mean, it would be fantastic, and he would get to play in the scheme that he excelled in. BUT, he'll be 29 this Spring, and he's getting $21M per year.
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PFN....it is way too easy to trade down on there.

5. Jalen Carter DT Georgia trade icon
18. Tyree Wilson EDGE Texas Tech trade icon
20. Peter Skoronski OT Northwestern trade icon
33. Henry To'oTo'o LB Alabama trade icon
37. Rashee Rice WR SMU trade icon
48. Sedrick Van Pran OC Georgia trade icon
55. Darnell Washington TE Georgia
64. Andre Carter II EDGE Army
100. Tank Bigsby RB Auburn
131. SirVocea Dennis LB Pittsburgh
132. Rashad Torrence II S Florida
155. Colby Wooden DT Auburn
196. Deuce Vaughn RB Kansas State

2024 HOU 1st
2024 SEA 1st
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Brandin Cooks told the Texans he wants out (he tried to get traded during the '22 season) but doesn't want to go to a rebuilding team. The Bears would have to qualify but, man, he is still productive at 29 years old.
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Bears Whiskey Nut wrote: Tue Jan 10, 2023 10:09 am Great film session with DeForest Buckner. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o5vWuHb9QgI

Do we really think it would be possible to get him as part of a trade for picks? I mean, it would be fantastic, and he would get to play in the scheme that he excelled in. BUT, he'll be 29 this Spring, and he's getting $21M per year.
How many years do we think he’s got left, 2 or 3?
That’s long enough to draft a replacement.

I’d take him in a heartbeat and I think Poles and Flus would too but will the Colts been keen?
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Ditka’s dictaphone wrote: Tue Jan 10, 2023 12:23 pm
Bears Whiskey Nut wrote: Tue Jan 10, 2023 10:09 am Great film session with DeForest Buckner. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o5vWuHb9QgI

Do we really think it would be possible to get him as part of a trade for picks? I mean, it would be fantastic, and he would get to play in the scheme that he excelled in. BUT, he'll be 29 this Spring, and he's getting $21M per year.
How many years do we think he’s got left, 2 or 3?
That’s long enough to draft a replacement.

I’d take him in a heartbeat and I think Poles and Flus would too but will the Colts been keen?
Colts have to rebuild. they'll have a whole new coaching regime in there next year. Buckner would be a big hit off of their books, and give them additional cap flexibility. Right now they only have $18M, giving us Buckner would more than double that. They also need a QB a lot more than they need a 29 year old DT.

I see Buckner as a Julius Peppers type. He's such a physical freak that he'll be able to play longer and more effectively than you would think. I'm guessing he's got 3-4 good years left.
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Was messing around and have no idea outside of the first round or two. How did I do?
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Pretty Happy with this one through NFL Mock Draft Database website.

Trade #1:
Chicago Receives
2023: Round 1, Pick 2
2023: Round 2, Pick 33
2023: Round 4, Pick 103

Houston Receives:
203: Round1, Pick 1

Trade #2:
Chicago Receives:
2023: Round 1, Pick 4
2023: Round 2, Pick 35
2023: Round 3, Pick 79

Indy Receives:
2023: Round 1, Pick 2


Round 1:
Bryce Young goes 1/1, then CJ Stroud and then Cards surprise everyone and select Tyree Wilson.

Pick #4: Will Anderson Jr, DE, Bama
Pick #33: Jalin Hyatt, WR ,Ten
Pick #35, Darnell Washington, TE, Georgia
Pick #55, Darnell Wright, DT, Tenn
Pick #64 Calijah Kancey, DL, Pitt
Pick #79 John Michael Schmitz, C, Minn
Pick #102, Andrew Vorhees, G, USC
Pick #103, Parker Washington, WR, Penn St.
Pick #133, Dwayne McBride, RB, UAB
Pick #135, Keion White, DL, Georgia Tech
Pick #148, Ro;eu Moss, CB, Iowa
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The Kaiser wrote: Thu Jan 12, 2023 3:05 am Pretty Happy with this one through NFL Mock Draft Database website.

Trade #1:
Chicago Receives
2023: Round 1, Pick 2
2023: Round 2, Pick 33
2023: Round 4, Pick 103

Houston Receives:
203: Round1, Pick 1

Trade #2:
Chicago Receives:
2023: Round 1, Pick 4
2023: Round 2, Pick 35
2023: Round 3, Pick 79

Indy Receives:
2023: Round 1, Pick 2


Round 1:
Bryce Young goes 1/1, then CJ Stroud and then Cards surprise everyone and select Tyree Wilson.

Pick #4: Will Anderson Jr, DE, Bama
Pick #33: Jalin Hyatt, WR ,Ten
Pick #35, Darnell Washington, TE, Georgia
Pick #55, Darnell Wright, DT, Tenn
Pick #64 Calijah Kancey, DL, Pitt
Pick #79 John Michael Schmitz, C, Minn
Pick #102, Andrew Vorhees, G, USC
Pick #103, Parker Washington, WR, Penn St.
Pick #133, Dwayne McBride, RB, UAB
Pick #135, Keion White, DL, Georgia Tech
Pick #148, Ro;eu Moss, CB, Iowa
I like this one a lot. I have Jalin Hyatt and Darnell Washington in several of my mocks as well. Both would would solid weapons for JF1.
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I am always amazed at the difference in player ranking between sites.
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southdakbearfan wrote: Thu Jan 12, 2023 9:38 am I am always amazed at the difference in player ranking between sites.
All of that is going to get fleshed out after the Combine and player Pro-days.
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southdakbearfan wrote: Thu Jan 12, 2023 9:38 am I am always amazed at the difference in player ranking between sites.
Some of it can be chalked up to Recency (one site hasn't done any or serious updates for a while).
Some can be chalked up to Quality (some sites have high reliability, some don't)
But some of it is definitely still left to go into the Mystifying category.
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The Bears big board for the first round: https://beargoggleson.com/2023/01/15/ch ... g-board/6/

A semi-realistic scenario which could yield big: https://beargoggleson.com/2023/01/16/ch ... ock-draft/

One of those pie-in-the-sky mocks which have the team trading for #1 giving up the boat. Most likely unrealistic:
https://bearswire.usatoday.com/lists/ch ... r-edition/
Drafts are like snowflakes, no two are alike.
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Grizzled wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 8:40 am The Bears big board for the first round: https://beargoggleson.com/2023/01/15/ch ... g-board/6/

A semi-realistic scenario which could yield big: https://beargoggleson.com/2023/01/16/ch ... ock-draft/

One of those pie-in-the-sky mocks which have the team trading for #1 giving up the boat. Most likely unrealistic:
https://bearswire.usatoday.com/lists/ch ... r-edition/
I'm not trading our #1 pick with the Texans, Seahawks, or Lions unless I get both of their 1st round picks. Secondly there is no way I am taking a WR with my first selection. Poles should be fired if he does. This team's biggest need is on the DL and OL. Bar none.
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Bears Whiskey Nut wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 10:33 am
Grizzled wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 8:40 am The Bears big board for the first round: https://beargoggleson.com/2023/01/15/ch ... g-board/6/

A semi-realistic scenario which could yield big: https://beargoggleson.com/2023/01/16/ch ... ock-draft/

One of those pie-in-the-sky mocks which have the team trading for #1 giving up the boat. Most likely unrealistic:
https://bearswire.usatoday.com/lists/ch ... r-edition/
I'm not trading our #1 pick with the Texans, Seahawks, or Lions unless I get both of their 1st round picks. Secondly there is no way I am taking a WR with my first selection. Poles should be fired if he does. This team's biggest need is on the DL and OL. Bar none.
If Poles addresses both lines in FA, things will change for the Bears in the draft.
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Bears Whiskey Nut wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 10:33 amI'm not trading our #1 pick with the Texans, Seahawks, or Lions unless I get both of their 1st round picks.
I expect you're gonna be disappointed.
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dplank wrote:I agree with Rich here
RichH55 wrote: Dplank is correct
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thunderspirit wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 11:06 am
Bears Whiskey Nut wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 10:33 amI'm not trading our #1 pick with the Texans, Seahawks, or Lions unless I get both of their 1st round picks.
I expect you're gonna be disappointed.
I think many on this board will be when it's all said and done.
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wab wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 10:35 am
Bears Whiskey Nut wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 10:33 am

I'm not trading our #1 pick with the Texans, Seahawks, or Lions unless I get both of their 1st round picks. Secondly there is no way I am taking a WR with my first selection. Poles should be fired if he does. This team's biggest need is on the DL and OL. Bar none.
If Poles addresses both lines in FA, things will change for the Bears in the draft.
Very true, which makes all the mock drafts pretty useless but nonetheless quite fun to look at and dream. I'm not sure the tipping point, how far back the Bears would have to move to get a pirates ransom in picks. If they do and stay in the top 10 or so pickwise, there should still be sone top talent available. I'm not discounting Poles taking WR or either line if they move down.
Drafts are like snowflakes, no two are alike.
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wab wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 12:27 pm
thunderspirit wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 11:06 am

I expect you're gonna be disappointed.
I think many on this board will be when it's all said and done.
I’d like to trade with Indy and get DeForest Buckner plus their #4.
We could/should be able to get more for #1 but I’d Sit comfortably with that trade. Buckner is like a R1 pick in himself.
If we could add Quentin Nelson too or some more picks then great, but Buckner and pick 4 would stop me being seriously disappointed.
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Ditka’s dictaphone wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 12:51 pm
wab wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 12:27 pm
I think many on this board will be when it's all said and done.
I’d like to trade with Indy and get DeForest Buckner plus their #4.
We could/should be able to get more for #1 but I’d Sit comfortably with that trade. Buckner is like a R1 pick in himself.
If we could add Quentin Nelson too or some more picks then great, but Buckner and pick 4 would stop me being seriously disappointed.
Indy definitely has a few guys that I'd be interested in. Braden Smith, Buckner, Leonard, and Pittman for starters.
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wab wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 10:35 am
Bears Whiskey Nut wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 10:33 am

I'm not trading our #1 pick with the Texans, Seahawks, or Lions unless I get both of their 1st round picks. Secondly there is no way I am taking a WR with my first selection. Poles should be fired if he does. This team's biggest need is on the DL and OL. Bar none.
If Poles addresses both lines in FA, things will change for the Bears in the draft.
I mean. All of these draft mocks are totally useless until we see what Poles accomplishes in FA. Granted they are a lot of fun, but totally useless.
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For this one, I traded with Carolina at 9 (plus a couple more minor ones).
Did not get the double DEs that I like, partly because they had Patterson so high. I'm not sure if I'd actually go that high or not. But I'm not sure there's a good plan B at C, either.
But it allowed for an early WR+TE, plus later WR+TE. And should get some good pass rush out of Kancey - Tuli and Morris went early, but he lasted to a pretty good value slot.


Fanspeak (Fambase)

Trade Partner: Carolina Panthers
Sent: Round 1 Pick 1
Received: Round 1 Pick 9, Round 2 Pick 9, Round 2 Pick 28, Round 3 Pick 28, Round 4 Pick 9, Round 4 Pick 28

Trade Partner: New Orleans Saints
Sent: Round 3 Pick 1
Received: Round 3 Pick 10, Round 4 Pick 10

Trade Partner: Washington Commanders
Sent: Round 4 Pick 9
Received: Round 4 Pick 16, Round 5 Pick 16

Trade Partner: Buffalo Bills
Sent: Round 4 Pick 16
Received: Round 4 Pick 30, Round 5 Pick 30

9: R1 P9 DE Myles Murphy - Clemson
40: R2 P9 C Jarrett Patterson - Notre Dame
56: R2 P25 TE Darnell Washington - Georgia
59: R2 P28 WR Cedric Tillman - Tennessee
73: R3 P10 LB Daiyan Henley - Washington St
91: R3 P28 3T Calijah Kancey - Pittsburgh
103: R4 P1 S Ji'Ayir Brown - Penn State
112: R4 P10 RT/G Jaxson Kirkland - Washington
130: R4 P28 G? Joe Tippmann - Wisconsin
132: R4 P30 DT Keeanu Benton - Wisconsin
134: R4 P32 RB Roschon Johnson - Texas
136: R5 P1 TE Zack Kuntz - Old Dominion
151: R5 P16 OT Connor Galvin - Baylor
160: R5 P25 WR Andrei Iosivas - Princeton
165: R5 P30 QB Clayton Tune - Houston
216: R7 P1 DE Thomas Incoom - Central Michigan
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Moriarty wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 4:02 pm For this one, I traded with Carolina at 9 (plus a couple more minor ones).
Did not get the double DEs that I like, partly because they had Patterson so high. I'm not sure if I'd actually go that high or not. But I'm not sure there's a good plan B at C, either.
But it allowed for an early WR+TE, plus later WR+TE. And should get some good pass rush out of Kancey - Tuli and Morris went early, but he lasted to a pretty good value slot.


Fanspeak (Fambase)

Trade Partner: Carolina Panthers
Sent: Round 1 Pick 1
Received: Round 1 Pick 9, Round 2 Pick 9, Round 2 Pick 28, Round 3 Pick 28, Round 4 Pick 9, Round 4 Pick 28

Trade Partner: New Orleans Saints
Sent: Round 3 Pick 1
Received: Round 3 Pick 10, Round 4 Pick 10

Trade Partner: Washington Commanders
Sent: Round 4 Pick 9
Received: Round 4 Pick 16, Round 5 Pick 16

Trade Partner: Buffalo Bills
Sent: Round 4 Pick 16
Received: Round 4 Pick 30, Round 5 Pick 30

9: R1 P9 DE Myles Murphy - Clemson
40: R2 P9 C Jarrett Patterson - Notre Dame
56: R2 P25 TE Darnell Washington - Georgia
59: R2 P28 WR Cedric Tillman - Tennessee
73: R3 P10 LB Daiyan Henley - Washington St
91: R3 P28 3T Calijah Kancey - Pittsburgh
103: R4 P1 S Ji'Ayir Brown - Penn State
112: R4 P10 RT/G Jaxson Kirkland - Washington
130: R4 P28 G? Joe Tippmann - Wisconsin
132: R4 P30 DT Keeanu Benton - Wisconsin
134: R4 P32 RB Roschon Johnson - Texas
136: R5 P1 TE Zack Kuntz - Old Dominion
151: R5 P16 OT Connor Galvin - Baylor
160: R5 P25 WR Andrei Iosivas - Princeton
165: R5 P30 QB Clayton Tune - Houston
216: R7 P1 DE Thomas Incoom - Central Michigan
Interesting stat. Players picked in rounds 1 -3 have a 72% chance of sticking with their team, or getting a second contract. That rate goes down to 28% for day three selections. I'm assuming round 4 is pretty high, but then it drops off precipitously after that. If you're a GM, with the 1st pick in the draft, and you need a lot of players. You're going to leverage that pick to get as many day 1 & 2 players as you can. Even if it's one in the first round and eight in the second. If you can secure 5-8 players in those first three rounds, I think you've done well.

On a side note, I would LOVE me some Darnell Washington on the Bears. That dude is a freak. 6'7" 270. He catches the ball in the secondary and it's an instant business decision for DB's.
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My first dual draft of the season yielded pretty good results! I ran a draft simultaneously on PFN and NFL Mockdraft Database. I had to be able to make the same trades and picks on each site for it to count. Traded down with Indy on both sites for 4, 35, 79 and their 2024 2nd, both said it was an even trade. NFLMDDB gave all picks an A or B+ except Tank Bigsby which got a C+


4. Jalen Carter DT Georgia trade icon
35. Jalin Hyatt WR Tennessee trade icon
53. Darnell Washington TE Georgia
64. Tank Bigsby RB Auburn
79. Zach Harrison EDGE Ohio State trade icon
101. Luke Wypler OC Ohio State
132. Colby Wooden DT Auburn
133. K.J. Henry EDGE Clemson
155. Jaxson Kirkland OT Washington
197. Andrei Iosivas WR Princeton

2024 IND 2nd
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Z Bear wrote: Wed Jan 18, 2023 11:36 am My first dual draft of the season yielded pretty good results! I ran a draft simultaneously on PFN and NFL Mockdraft Database. I had to be able to make the same trades and picks on each site for it to count. Traded down with Indy on both sites for 4, 35, 79 and their 2024 2nd, both said it was an even trade. NFLMDDB gave all picks an A or B+ except Tank Bigsby which got a C+


4. Jalen Carter DT Georgia trade icon
35. Jalin Hyatt WR Tennessee trade icon
53. Darnell Washington TE Georgia
64. Tank Bigsby RB Auburn
79. Zach Harrison EDGE Ohio State trade icon
101. Luke Wypler OC Ohio State
132. Colby Wooden DT Auburn
133. K.J. Henry EDGE Clemson
155. Jaxson Kirkland OT Washington
197. Andrei Iosivas WR Princeton

2024 IND 2nd
interesting concept. I'll have to give that a try.

Nice draft, BTW.
(I am not particularly a Washington fan, despite his tools; and I suspect Wooden is more of a 4-3 DE than a 4-3 DT. But that's nitpicking. Good job.)
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dplank wrote:I agree with Rich here
RichH55 wrote: Dplank is correct
:shocked:
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Moriarty wrote: Tue Jan 17, 2023 4:02 pm For this one, I traded with Carolina at 9 (plus a couple more minor ones).
Did not get the double DEs that I like, partly because they had Patterson so high. I'm not sure if I'd actually go that high or not. But I'm not sure there's a good plan B at C, either.
But it allowed for an early WR+TE, plus later WR+TE. And should get some good pass rush out of Kancey - Tuli and Morris went early, but he lasted to a pretty good value slot.


Fanspeak (Fambase)

Trade Partner: Carolina Panthers
Sent: Round 1 Pick 1
Received: Round 1 Pick 9, Round 2 Pick 9, Round 2 Pick 28, Round 3 Pick 28, Round 4 Pick 9, Round 4 Pick 28

Trade Partner: New Orleans Saints
Sent: Round 3 Pick 1
Received: Round 3 Pick 10, Round 4 Pick 10

Trade Partner: Washington Commanders
Sent: Round 4 Pick 9
Received: Round 4 Pick 16, Round 5 Pick 16

Trade Partner: Buffalo Bills
Sent: Round 4 Pick 16
Received: Round 4 Pick 30, Round 5 Pick 30

9: R1 P9 DE Myles Murphy - Clemson
40: R2 P9 C Jarrett Patterson - Notre Dame
56: R2 P25 TE Darnell Washington - Georgia
59: R2 P28 WR Cedric Tillman - Tennessee
73: R3 P10 LB Daiyan Henley - Washington St
91: R3 P28 3T Calijah Kancey - Pittsburgh
103: R4 P1 S Ji'Ayir Brown - Penn State
112: R4 P10 RT/G Jaxson Kirkland - Washington
130: R4 P28 G? Joe Tippmann - Wisconsin
132: R4 P30 DT Keeanu Benton - Wisconsin
134: R4 P32 RB Roschon Johnson - Texas
136: R5 P1 TE Zack Kuntz - Old Dominion
151: R5 P16 OT Connor Galvin - Baylor
160: R5 P25 WR Andrei Iosivas - Princeton
165: R5 P30 QB Clayton Tune - Houston
216: R7 P1 DE Thomas Incoom - Central Michigan
I really like this draft, as I do think Poles wants to really load the team with young talent. I think your draft also reminds how valuable the first pick in each round is, and can be parlayed into a lot more picks. Especially considering what Poles accomplished last year with trade-downs. Although with sufficient dry powder this year he might change his approach a bit and spend a bit more capital to get exactly who he wants earlier.

No Andersen or Carter or '24 first rounder might trigger some disappointment but I see this as highly realistic. And what is also realistic is that Poles buys a couple of blue-chipper type (or close or potential) DL like Payne in FA and also a RT. I actually think that is more likely than not, because he's not going to wait until the draft to fix the DL mess he made on purpose. So then in that FA context this draft is money.

I love the Murphy pick and he could end up as good a player as Anderson - especially since (IMO) he fits better in a 4-3. I love the Patterson pick to step in sometime next year as the long-term starter. I LOVE Washingon even though Kmet made strides - and I know JF1 will like him too holy crap. And I like the second TE as well as the late QB.

The only flaw is no Illini esp. Chase Brown. But I'll forgive you.
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I've been clinging to the idea of staying in play for Anderson and Carter...so I ran a mock that had me trading down until they were gone, just to see what that might look like. Then I traded down again from 1.5 with Richardson and Levis both on the board.

FA PRESUMPTIONS

Modest, including a swing tackle, guard, and depth WR and CB

TRADES

1.1 (Jalen Carter), 6.197 (Aubrey Miller) to Arizona for 1.3, 2.34, 4.105, 2024 first

1.3 (Will Anderson) to Seattle for 1.5, 1.20, 2024 fourth

1.5 (Will Levis) to Las Vegas for 1.7, 3.20, 2024 second

2.34 (Tanner McKee), 6.176 (Chamarri Conner) to Atlanta for 2.44, 3.75
Some good DTs were still on the board, so I took a chance here.

5.136 (Israel Abanikanda) to LA Rams for 5.141, 2024 sixth
They offered, so why not? My target didn't change.

5.149 (Payton Wilson), 7.217 (Jerrod Clark), 2024 sixth to Pittsburgh for 6.193, 7.233, 2024 fourth
This was more about moving up in 2024.

7.233 (Kahlief Hallassie), 2024 sixth to Indianapolis for 7.220, 2024 seventh, 2025 seventh
Nick Hampton's a luxury, but he's the guy I wanted here, so I got him and a 2025 seventh for a little 2024 trade-down.

DRAFT

1.7: Myles Murphy, DE, Clemson
Tyree Wilson was there, too, and I might prefer him by the time the draft rolls around. Anyway, a DE.

1.20: Broderick Jones, OT, Georgia
Could've gone with Anton Harrison, but Jones seems like a safer bet to hit the ground running.

2.44: Mazi Smith, DT, MIchigan
In my vision of things, he's our new 3-tech. Best pass-rusher on that team for stretches.

2.54: Tuli Tuipolotu, DL, USC
I'm not entirely sold. But the value here is ridiculous, and the lineup possibilities are wide open.

3.64: Rashee Rice, WR, SMU
This is about where we should target WR, IMSO.

3.70: Keeanu Benton, DT, Wisconsin
Overkill? Nah. I still like Jones, probably better than most. I just don't like anyone else except for Armon Watts half the time, and I think we should shift our roster composition to carry six DTs. I'd take Benton here even if we sign a big FA. A mid-third for a deep rotational tackle with Benton's kind of skill is absolutely worth it.

3.75: DeMarvion Overshown, LB, Texas
Daiyan Henley's been my guy here, but he went in the second. Don't call Overshown a door prize--he might even be a better overall fit.

4.103: Joe Tippmann, IOL, Wisconsin
I've presumed here that we won't sign a FA center, and Tippmann can play at least three positions. Might've chosen someone else if our guards and tackles were perfectly set, but in these circumstances I like the phenomenal athlete who can contribute where we need him to.

4.105: Christopher Smith, S/Nickel, Georgia
For us, I think he's a big nickel and future FS. I love how every scouting report mentions how boring he is to watch. Ho-hum, just covers his guy and doesn't let him catch the ball, makes a few interceptions here and there, that sorta thing. Perfect understudy for Jackson right off the bat.

5.141: Xavier Hutchinson, WR, Iowa St.
A Scottie Pippen guy: tall, but there's a lot of little-man detail to his game. And another guy who's taller than Fields, which might help convince our QB that he's open.

6.193: Josh Whyle, TE, Cincinnati
Very quietly, there's a lot of George Kittle to this guy. Good blocker, fantastic hands, terrifically quick, and we'll see about the speed. It's the quickness, though, that intrigues me the most.

7.220: Nick Hampton, DE, Apalachian St.
Traded up in the seventh when I might not have had to, but he's a pure pass-rushing howitzer round to complement Murphy. Find a way to line him up wide and give him the DE's version of the cushion a good slot receiver gets. He'll use it.

2024 picks: 1st, 2nd, 2 x fourth, seventh
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nflmockdraftdatabase.com

Did something a little different here. Double trade down with the 2nd going to 13 (Jets).
By 13, all the DL names we talk constantly were gone, also Paris, and 1-2 of the top corners. To me, it was pretty obvious to either trade back a 3rd time and hit the next tier of DE, or


1-13 Quentin Johnston WR | TCU TCUTRADE
2-35 Andre Carter RDE | Army ArmyTRADE
2-53 Mazi Smith DT | Michigan Michigan
3-64 Jarrett Patterson C | Notre Dame Notre Dame
3-67 Daiyan Henley WLB | Washington State Washington StateTRADE
3-68 Blake Freeland OT | BYU BYUTRADE
3-74 Mike Morris LDE | Michigan MichiganTRADE
3-79 Ji'Ayir Brown FS | Penn State Penn StateTRADE
4-102 Sam LaPorta TE | Iowa Iowa
4-105 Colby Wooden DL | Auburn AuburnTRADE
4-111 Roschon Johnson RB | Texas TexasTRADE
4-133 Owen Pappoe WLB | Auburn Auburn
5-135 Joe Tippmann G | Wisconsin Wisconsin
6-187 Connor Galvin OT | Baylor BaylorTRADE
6-200 Zack Kuntz TE | Old Dominion Old DominionTRADE
6-202 Jake Haener QB | Fresno State Fresno StateTRADE
7-233 Anfernee Orji LB | Vanderbilt VanderbiltTRADE
7-236 Dante Stills DL | West Virginia West VirginiaTRADE
7-255 Jaxon Janke WR | South Dakota State South Dakota StateTRADE

As always, I'm kind of assuming nothing in the way of FA help and trying to hit everything. In most years, there isn't much FA help. This year, there will be at least a couple locked in starters picked up. Although, I'm really, really underwhelmed as I examine the FAs.

Trade Recap
Indianapolis Receives:
R1, 1
Chicago Receives:
R1, 4 R2, 35 R3, 79 R4, 105

New York Receives:
R1, 4
Chicago Receives:
R1, 13 R2, 43 R3, 74 R4, 111

Denver Receives:
R2, 43 R5, 138
Chicago Receives:
R3, 67 R3, 68

Houston Receives:
R5, 148
Chicago Receives:
R6, 187 R6, 200 R6, 202

Green Bay Receives:
R6, 219
Chicago Receives:
R7, 233 R7, 236 R7, 255

There were also a couple 2024 picks thrown in with the first 2 trades, but oddly the sim doesn't remember/display them at the end.
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I hadn't tried NFL Mock Database before, so here goes.

PRESUMPTIONS
No big FAs
No kowtowing to what I think Eberflus wants. I'm already worried that he's unimaginative, so I'm going to draft guys I think can help us and leave it to him to coach them.

TRADE
Just one: 1.1 (Bryce Young) to Indy for 1.4, 2.35, and a 2024 first.

DRAFT
1.4: Jalen Carter, DL, Georgia
Uniquely disruptive, and a great table-setter for the rest of the line. So what if he's of average height? That's the only average thing about him.

2.35: Lukas Van Ness, DL, Iowa
It could happen. Right now, he's everyone's favorite "Whoa--look who got mocked to such-and-so" guy, and that's just part of the pre-Senior Bowl lull. I'd take him in the top 10, but that's me letting my misspent years in IC show for once. Never started and won't be in the Senior Bowl, and that'll let him fade a bit before the draft.

2.53: Luke Musgrave, TE, Oregon State
We already spent the 33rd (well, 32nd) pick on a WR. I'm not doubling down unless there's a WR here with the upside of, say, Luke Musgrave. Which there isn't.

3.65: Cody Mauch, OL, North Dakota State
I dunno...alligator arms and all. But we could use help across the line. I like him a lot, and maybe he grabs RT and doesn't let it go. But if he doesn't, there are at least 1.5 spots at guard to seize.

4.103: Blake Freeland, OT, BYU
A pure tackle with the range to play outside zone? Sign me up.

4.134: Ivan Pace Jr., LB, Cincinnati
I like a Tasmanian Devil type for our LB corps. Daiyan Henley's going as early as I feared he would, but Pace fits the bill, too.

4.135: Joe Tippmann, OT, Wisconsin
It's like we got six linemen for the price of three. Let Tippmann start at center, and then let him find his...what would you call it...his angle of repose. No idea where he'll play, but I'm decently sure that he can, and at a high level.

4.148: Habakkuk Baldonado, DE, Pittsburgh
Another big end, this time with some refined pass-rushing stuff. The lighter of the two DEs here, but more of a strongside edge-setter who'll create some pressure through sheer effort. One guy from Barrington, another from Europe. Checks out.

7.220: Myles Brooks, CB, Louisiana Tech
More size for the secondary. More long than strong, but he could still apprentice to Eddie Jackson without sacrificing anything Jackson bothers to do.
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