Would have preferred to make a run at his former running mate - Mike Williams. No picks given up and he wouldn't count vs the comp pick formula (Allen doesn't either). With that said, I like the pick other than he's only got one year left and his age (31). Next year really could be something special with him and Moore. But the issue becomes where do we go after that? Extend him?
I don't follow other teams/players as close as other do. But I've always kind of assumed he was more of the speed guy out of the duo. But looking at his measurables, he is listed at 6'2" 212 pounds and ran a 4.7 40 time at his pro day. So that makes me feel a bit better. Smaller fast guys tend to fall much faster when age catches up to them.
With that said, I think the best we get out of a 4th round pick is 3 years of top level performance at the WR1/2 spot. I think that a solid, but not exceptional return for the pick. Worst case we get one year of that level of performance and he leaves. (Not getting into the whole what is a players floor debate - yes he could get hurt and not play a down, yes it's possible his game falls completely off).
It appears 4th round draft picks get a second contract about 50% of the time (22% with the drafting team and 28% with another team - that an estimate looking at the graph here
https://www.dailynorseman.com/2022/4/26 ... -very-high). So it appears this is the saver return on the pick. You miss out on your pick being Chris Carter, Steve Largent or Jared Allen, but you pretty much assure yourself he isn't a bust.
Also, since all the tea leafs appear to be that the Bears will be moving on from Fields and drafting a QB (likely CW), I think it's a great move to make sure that guy has the pieces in place to be successful. (They've never done that). So even if he is here a year and walks, if he helps the new QB develop, it's a great trade.