2024 Regular Season WEEK 4
---------------------------------------- Sunday September 29th, 12NOON CST venue: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL television: FOX radio: ESPN 1000
---------------------------------------- CHICAGO BEARS (1-2)
---------------------------------------- Los Angeles Rams (1-2)
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As we’ve seen with Jacksonville, Cincinnati and possibly Dallas, the wheels are coming off in Chicago.
Bear running backs will consistently be met in the backfield and Caleb will be under siege. The boo birds are out in force early as the defense raises the white flag
I'll slam my head against this god damn wall til I am right!
Caleb builds off his breakout 4th quarter as the game slows down. A second 300 yard game to go with 3 TDs(1 rushing) is a stark change from what we are used to at the QB position. The running game continues to show why you don't pay running backs as RoJo carries the load for 60 yards on the ground and another 40 in the air as he scores twice. Defense has a bit of difficulty with a great QB like Stafford but gets the job done, forcing 2 turnovers.
I'm quickly losing faith in this team. I don't understand how an offense can come out and routinely look this incompetent -- even veteran offensive linemen are playing like clueless undrafted free agents. It's fucking annoying.
Rams are giving up 5.1 ypc defensively, which means we won't clear 3 yards a pop.
Rams are rushing at 3.4 ypc offensively, which means we have a chance to really shut that down and make them one dimensional.
Cooper Kupp is out, Puka Nakua is out, they're giving up 30.3 points per game on defense but somehow managed an insane comeback victory over the 49ers last week.
My head is spinning -- much like this coin I am flipping.
Bears 19
Rams 17
“We’ve just got to get that Wi-Fi all the way up to three bars.”
The Rams are hobbled and a bad football team. They got very lucky against the 49'ers. That being said, this will be a big game for Waldron. He's received a lot of national criticism for his game plan against a bad Colts team, and making Caleb throw 53 times against one of the NFL's worst rushing defenses. If Waldron can figure these three things out, I think the Bears have a shot to win; 1) Roschon Johnson is your power 2-3 down back, and is the one that should be running between the tackles. He should be getting 20 carries a game. 2) Rome Odunze is poised to become a breakout star in this league, you need to go to him early and often. 3) Gerald Everett should NEVER get more snaps than Cole Kmet. Sure it's more complicated than that. But I think it's a start. One of my biggest concerns with Waldron right now is personnel usage. He's got to figure that out.
Defense has a great game against a slow and receiverless Stafford. They get one TD and five sacks.
the Rams certainly wouldn't need Aaron Donald for a game like this, but the Bears blockers will be thinking there are 5 Aaron Donald's attacking them, and their putrid efforts will result in the Rams defense living in the Bears backfield all game
the Colts game made me extremely disappointed ... this game will make people puke
the Bears defense will again show up and keep the game within reach, but unless they score with the turnovers they will get, the Bears will lose as their offense continues to spin itself into failure on all levels
Bears 10
Rams 26
"Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things." George Carlin
I remain convinced that our defence is driven by being able to stop the run and they'll find that easier this week than they did against the Colts. And Stafford is a QB that throws picks so getting him one dimensional should hopefully let us feast.
On offence Williams is still going to make some rookie mistakes but 300+ yards is still a lot of yards. His play just *looks* like the play of an NFL QB, his 3rd/4th down conversion rate is up to 42%, Kmet and Odunze are coming off great games and Moore is still getting his touches. It's close lads, I feel it, and we're at Soldier Field!
Bears 34, Rams 13.
"I wouldn't take him for a conditional 7th. His next contract will pay him more than he could possibly contribute.".
Now that there are three weeks of data to work with, I have two additional programs to predict results (3 weeks allows the algorithm to function, degrees of freedom and all that, but really aren't enough observations to get good results).
The program that relies heavily on the previous season has Bears by 1 and around 47 total points scored. The first program that uses prior season only for home-field-advantage has Rams by 5. The last program works with the same algorithm as the second, but analyzes offense (Bears 26th) separately from defense (Bears 12th). It has Bears by 5 with around 41 total points scored.
Middleguard wrote: ↑Tue Sep 24, 2024 11:49 am
Now that there are three weeks of data to work with, I have two additional programs to predict results (3 weeks allows the algorithm to function, degrees of freedom and all that, but really aren't enough observations to get good results).
The program that relies heavily on the previous season has Bears by 1 and around 47 total points scored. The first program that uses prior season only for home-field-advantage has Rams by 5. The last program works with the same algorithm as the second, but analyzes offense (Bears 26th) separately from defense (Bears 12th). It has Bears by 5 with around 41 total points scored.
Middleguard wrote: ↑Tue Sep 24, 2024 11:49 am
Now that there are three weeks of data to work with, I have two additional programs to predict results (3 weeks allows the algorithm to function, degrees of freedom and all that, but really aren't enough observations to get good results).
The program that relies heavily on the previous season has Bears by 1 and around 47 total points scored. The first program that uses prior season only for home-field-advantage has Rams by 5. The last program works with the same algorithm as the second, but analyzes offense (Bears 26th) separately from defense (Bears 12th). It has Bears by 5 with around 41 total points scored.
I'm going with Bears 23 Rams 22.
Thank you for those interesting technical highlights but I hope you're not copying me.
There is a GM named Poles
Who has a clear set of goals
He’s rebuilt his team
So Bears’ fans can dream
Of winning some more Super Bowls
I’d really like to see if there’s a difference in the run game and pass blocking whenever Blas comes back. 22 personnel with him and Roschon as the backs, on paper, should be the most effective.
G08 wrote: ↑Tue Sep 24, 2024 9:22 am
I'm quickly losing faith in this team. I don't understand how an offense can come out and routinely look this incompetent -- even veteran offensive linemen are playing like clueless undrafted free agents. It's fucking annoying.
363 yards passing is incompetence? Seriously?
My mother's love was inexplicably linked to kickball.
G08 wrote: ↑Tue Sep 24, 2024 9:22 am
I'm quickly losing faith in this team. I don't understand how an offense can come out and routinely look this incompetent -- even veteran offensive linemen are playing like clueless undrafted free agents. It's fucking annoying.
363 yards passing is incompetence? Seriously?
Did you think that was NFL-level offensive execution last week? Look at what Matt LaFleur is doing with Malik freaking Willis. Fucking hell.
That goal line play alone was the stupidest thing I've seen in quite some time.
“We’ve just got to get that Wi-Fi all the way up to three bars.”
The single reason I will continue to watch this team this season is to see Caleb continue to develop.
Ok, the other is because I'm a glutton for punishment.
2023 Preseason Downside prediction:
5-6 wins, never really healthy all season, a constant shuffling.
We're potentially in a position to draft in the Top 5 again, depending on the Carolina team, and probably have a low-teens (or better) pick ourselves.
G08 wrote: ↑Tue Sep 24, 2024 4:36 pm
Did you think that was NFL-level offensive execution last week? Look at what Matt LaFleur is doing with Malik freaking Willis. Fucking hell.
That goal line play alone was the stupidest thing I've seen in quite some time.
The goal line play calling was abysmal, and I've said as much. It cost the Bears the game.
There's no reason to go insane about stuff, though. They lost by five. Had 363 yards passing. Had some absolutely great plays in the passing game. People are acting like the season is as good as over.
I guess we simply watched different games.
My mother's love was inexplicably linked to kickball.
G08 wrote: ↑Tue Sep 24, 2024 4:36 pm
Did you think that was NFL-level offensive execution last week? Look at what Matt LaFleur is doing with Malik freaking Willis. Fucking hell.
That goal line play alone was the stupidest thing I've seen in quite some time.
The goal line play calling was abysmal, and I've said as much. It cost the Bears the game.
There's no reason to go insane about stuff, though. They lost by five. Had 363 yards passing. Had some absolutely great plays in the passing game. People are acting like the season is as good as over.
I guess we simply watched different games.
“We’ve just got to get that Wi-Fi all the way up to three bars.”
